Section I: What comprises the reserves and who manages them?
The reserves refer to the total assets minus liabilities of the Government and other entities specified in the Fifth Schedule under the Constitution1.
Government’s assets include:
(i) physical assets like land and buildings;
(ii) financial assets like cash, securities and bonds.
Government’s liabilities include:
(i) Singapore Government Securities (SGS), which are issued for purposes of developing our domestic debt market and providing a risk-free benchmark against which other risky market instruments are priced off.
(ii) Special Singapore Government Securities (SSGS), which are Government bonds issued to the CPF Board. CPF monies are invested in these special securities which are fully guaranteed by the Government. The securities earn for the CPF Board a coupon rate that is pegged to CPF interest rates that members receive.
Q1. What does the Constitution protect?
The Constitution protects Past Reserves.
Past Reserves refers to the reserves accumulated during previous terms of Government. To prevent reckless spending by a Government that could result in a drawdown of Past Reserves, the Constitution protects the Past Reserves of the Government and Fifth Schedule entities. The reserves of each entity are separately protected for clear accountability.
Q2. Who manages our reserves?
Given their strategic importance, it is vital that we enhance the long-term value of our reserves. To achieve this, the assets are invested professionally and on a strictly commercial basis, with the aim of generating sustainable returns over the long-term.
The Government’s assets are mainly managed by GIC Private Limited. The Government also places deposits with the MAS; in turn, MAS as a statutory board holds its own assets on its balance sheet. In addition, the Government is the sole equity shareholder of Temasek Holdings (Temasek). Temasek owns the assets on its balance sheet.
Information on the Government’s deposits with MAS is available here.
Monetary Authority of Singapore
The MAS, as the central bank of Singapore, manages the Official Foreign Reserves (OFR) of Singapore. Information on the OFR is available here.
Being a central bank, MAS is the most conservative of the three investment entities, with a significant proportion of its portfolio invested in liquid financial market instruments.
GIC Private Limited
GIC is a professional fund management organisation that manages Government assets. Its objective is to achieve good long-term returns to preserve and enhance the international purchasing power of the reserves.
GIC is a fairly conservative investor, with a globally diversified portfolio spread across various asset classes. Most of its investments are in the public markets, with a smaller component in alternative investments such as private equity and real estate.
Temasek is an investment company managed on commercial principles to create and deliver sustainable long-term value for its stakeholders.
Temasek is an active, value-oriented equity investor that aims to maximise shareholder value over the long term.
Q3. What is the Government’s role with regard to the investment decisions made by GIC, MAS and Temasek?
The Government plays no role in decisions on individual investments that are made by GIC, MAS and Temasek. At the GIC and MAS, whose boards include Ministers, these investment decisions are entirely the responsibility of their respective management teams. In the case of Temasek, where the Government has no representation on the Board, investment decisions are fully independent of any Government involvement or influence.
The Government’s role is instead as follows:
- First, the Government establishes the overall investment mandates and objectives of GIC, MAS and Temasek.
- Second, the Government ensures that each of these entities has a competent board to oversee the management and seek to ensure that their respective mandates are met.
- Third, the Government systematically reviews the overall risks of its whole portfolio of assets invested by the three entities. This includes monitoring whether there is appropriate diversification in terms of asset classes, sectors and geographies. The Government also assesses the impact of various adverse global scenarios across medium to long-term timeframes on the whole portfolio, to ensure that the downside risks to the whole portfolio are not excessive.
- Fourth, based on the overall risk profile of the Government’s portfolio, it decides how government capital should be allocated among the three entities. This takes into account the different investment orientations of MAS, GIC and Temasek, which place them at different parts of the spectrum of investment risk.
Q4. Who audits the financial statements of our investment entities?
MAS’ financial statements are audited by the Auditor-General.
The main companies in the GIC group and the Government’s portfolio managed by GIC are also audited by the Auditor-General.
To enable him/her to do his work without fear or favour, the Auditor-General is appointed by the President and his/her position is safeguarded under the Constitution and the Audit Act.
Temasek’s consolidated financial statements are audited by leading international audit firms. In addition, Temasek’s financial performance is scrutinised by bond rating agencies, which have given it a AAA credit rating.
Q5. Why does the Government not disclose the overall size of our reserves?
MAS and Temasek publish the size of the funds they manage. As of 31 March 2018, the Official Foreign Reserves managed by MAS was S$377 billion and the size of Temasek’s portfolio was S$308 billion.
It is the size of the Government’s funds managed by GIC that are not published. What has been revealed is that GIC manages well over US$100 billion. Revealing the exact size of assets that GIC manages will, taken together with the published assets of MAS and Temasek, amount to publishing the full size of Singapore’s financial reserves.
It is not in our national interest to publish the full size of our reserves. If we do so, it will make it easier for markets to mount speculative attacks on the Singapore dollar during periods of vulnerability.
Further, our reserves are a strategic asset, and especially for a small country with no natural resources or other assets. They are a key defence for Singapore in times of crisis, and it will be unwise to reveal the full and exact resources at our disposal.
Q6. What constitutes a draw on Past Reserves?
A draw on Past Reserves can occur in several ways.
First, a draw on Past Reserves occurs if the Government or a Fifth Schedule entity spends more than the reserves it has accumulated during the current term of Government.
Second, a draw on Past Reserves takes place when an asset is sold below its fair market value and the difference is not topped up from the reserves that were accumulated in the current term of Government. Fair market value is the price that a willing buyer and willing seller, at arms’ length, would transact at.
Q7. Why are Past Reserves used to fund land-related projects?
Past Reserves are used to fund land-related projects such as land reclamation and the creation of underground space2 like the Jurong Rock Cavern as well as land acquisition projects like Selective En-bloc Redevelopment Scheme (SERS)3 . This is a conversion of Past Reserves from one form (financial assets) to another (State land). The land and space that is created or acquired forms part of our State land holdings and is hence protected as Past Reserves. Further, when such land or space is subsequently sold, the proceeds accrue fully to Past Reserves. There is thus no drawdown of Past Reserves.
Q8. Is an investment loss considered a draw on Past Reserves?
No, an investment loss does not constitute a draw on Past Reserves, as long as the disposal of the investment is done at fair market value.
The Reserves protection framework aims to prevent any form of sale that is deliberately carried out at below fair market value, for example to avoid seeking explicit approval for a draw on reserves.
When any bona fide investment decision is made, there is expectation of a gain. However, no large investor is able to avoid taking some losses in investments after they are made, as investments carry some element of risk.
After an investment is made, any losses arising from its sale at fair market value do not constitute a draw on Past Reserves. Similarly, mark to market losses (i.e. falls in the market value of investments that are still being held) are also not considered a draw on Past Reserves.
The issue of whether the investment of the reserves results in gains or losses over time is therefore distinct from the question of whether there is a draw on Past Reserves.
Whether the entities which manage the reserves are making a gain or loss has to be evaluated based on changes in their overall portfolio values rather than by how much they have made or lost on individual investments. Further, we have to look at how they have performed over the long term, rather than over the short term where their performances would be influenced by the immediate market cycle. (See also Q8.)
Q9. How have GIC and Temasek performed? What information is available on their investment returns?
GIC’s mandate is to achieve good long-term returns, to preserve and enhance the international purchasing power of Government reserves. As a rule, GIC’s investments are outside Singapore and not in Singapore companies or instruments.
GIC’s mandate is to achieve good long-term returns, to preserve and enhance the international purchasing power of Government reserves.
GIC publishes an annual report on the performance of the Government’s portfolio. The information below is extracted from its latest annual report (“Report on the Management of the Government’s Portfolio for the Year 2017/18”, released on 13 Jul 2018).
The annualised 20-year real rate of return, in excess of global inflation, as of 31 March 2018, was 3.4%. The 20-year annualised real rate of return metric is the key focus for GIC, which matches its mandate and investment horizon. A 20-year period is appropriate as it spans a few business cycles and hence encompasses a number of market peaks and troughs.
GIC also discloses the nominal rates of return over 5-year, 10-year and 20-year periods. These time frames give a sense of the ongoing performance of the portfolio. The 5-year and 10-year rates of return reflect an intermediate measure of GIC’s longer term performance.
Tables 1 and 2 show the portfolio's annualised nominal rates of return over the 5-year, 10-year and 20-year periods in USD terms and the corresponding portfolio volatility, compared against a Reference Portfolio which comprises 65% global equities and 35% bonds. The Reference Portfolio is not a performance benchmark for the GIC Portfolio, but serves as a reference for portfolio risk. It also does not include adjustments for costs that would be incurred when investing.
Table 1: Nominal Return and Volatility of the GIC Portfolio (annualised, in USD, for periods ending 31 March 2018)
The GIC Portfolio’s 20-year nominal return was 5.9% per annum in USD terms.
Over the 10-year period ending March 2018, the GIC Portfolio returned 4.6% per annum in USD nominal terms. This period includes the poor market performance due to the Global Financial Crisis and the European Debt Crisis, and the subsequent recovery due to the aggressive monetary policy interventions.
Over the last 5-year period, the GIC Portfolio returned 6.6% per annum in USD nominal terms, benefitting from the run-up in global financial assets. Aggressive non-conventional monetary policies helped to push up market valuations.
Table 2: Nominal Return and Volatility of the Reference Portfolio (annualised, in USD, for periods ending 31 March 2018)
Over the three time periods, the GIC Portfolio has lower volatility than the Reference Portfolio due to its diversified asset composition. In addition, increasingly stretched valuations in developed market equities have prompted a reduced allocation to this asset class in recent years. Nevertheless, despite its lower risk exposure than the Reference Portfolio, the GIC Portfolio has performed creditably over a 20-year period.
For more information and discussion on GIC’s investment strategies and performance, click here.
Temasek’s aim is to maximise shareholder value over the long term. A significant portion of Temasek’s portfolio is invested in Singapore. However, since 2002, Temasek has taken active steps to invest in Asia and other markets.
Temasek publishes an annual report that discloses its annual portfolio value as well as its performance returns – Total Shareholder Returns (by Market Value) ‒ over the last 1 year, 10 years, 20 years, 30 years, 40 years and since inception.
Temasek’s financial performance is scrutinised by bond rating agencies, which have given it AAA rating. Temasek’s financial statements are audited by an international audit firm. (Its 2018 statements were audited by KPMG).
Temasek’s Total Shareholder Returns (by Market Value) as at 31 March 2018 are shown in the chart below.
More information on Temasek’s performance can be found in the Temasek Review 2018 (report download here and online version here) and Temasek Review 2017 ‒ Media Conference Presentation slides.
Q10. Have GIC and Temasek lost value as a result of the financial crisis in 2008-2009?
GIC and Temasek have fully recovered from the global financial crisis. During the financial crisis, the portfolios managed by GIC and Temasek had suffered declines in their portfolio values in line with global market declines. However, these declines came after much greater increases in their portfolio values in the preceding five years. For example, Temasek’s portfolio increased by S$114 billion over the preceding five years ‒ from the time the market cycle commenced in March 2003 to March 2008.
Taking the cycle as a whole ‒ from the start of the crisis and through the recovery ‒ both GIC and Temasek have done creditably in comparison to their international peers among major global managers. They have fully recovered their declines in portfolio values occurred during the crisis. More importantly, both GIC and Temasek have earned good returns over longer periods (see Q8).
The long-term investment orientation of GIC and Temasek has allowed them to tolerate short-term volatility and ride out market cycles, in order to achieve long term gains. To evaluate their performance, we therefore have to look at how they performed over the long term, rather than in the short term where their performances would be influenced by the immediate market cycle. Moreover, they have to be evaluated based on changes in their overall portfolio values rather than by how much they have made or lost on individual investments.
Q11. Do Singaporeans benefit from the Investment Returns of GIC and Temasek?
Singaporeans benefit from the investments of GIC and Temasek as they supplement the annual Budget through the Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC)4. The NIRC, estimated to be S$15.9 billion in Financial Year (FY) 2018, has allowed the Government to make further investments for the long term, such as in education, R&D, healthcare and improving our physical environment.
The Government generally budgets to take in 50% of NIRC at the start of each FY. The actual NIRC taken in at the end of the FY may vary due to changes in the fiscal position and to differences in the actual outturn for the maximum NIRC, compared to what was budgeted at the estimates stage.
Q12. Has the Government transferred funds to Temasek or GIC to show better performance?
No, the Government has not and does not transfer funds to Temasek or GIC to improve their performance figures.
As shareholder in Temasek, the Government injects capital into the company taking into account the long-term returns and risks associated with such investment. These capital injections are reflected in Temasek’s accounts and are made public.
An occasional misperception is that capital injections can be used to improve the reported returns performance of Temasek. Capital injections can enable Temasek to increase the size of its portfolio, but do not improve investment returns5. Temasek’s reported returns figure follows the widely accepted practice of computing returns, which is to deduct any capital injections from (and withdrawals by) the Government in making such calculations. Temasek’s returns figure is reviewed and regularly published in its annual report.
In the case of GIC, the allocation of Government funds to GIC for investment management also cannot improve GIC’s investment performance figures.
Q13. What factors have contributed to Temasek’s performance over time? Has Temasek’s performance benefited from the “transfer of Government’s assets” such as Singtel and Changi Airport Group (CAG) to its balance sheet?
Temasek’s Total Shareholder Return since inception (1974) was 15% p.a. in SGD terms. This TSR since inception would have benefited from the transfer of Government companies such as SingTel to Temasek, their transformation, and the subsequent listing of these assets.
Such factors aside, Temasek’s portfolio has also reflected two major themes:
(a) Performance of Temasek’s newer vintage investments (made after 31 March 2002)
- Since 2002, it became an active investor in Asia and other markets as part of its strategy to reshape its portfolio for the longer term.
- Its investments in external markets have provided a boost to Temasek’s long-term returns. This portfolio of newer vintage Temasek investments has delivered an annualised return of 15% to Temasek in SGD terms from 1 April 2002 to 31 March 2014.
(b) Performance of its older vintage investments (held as at March 2002)
- The older vintage portfolio of Temasek companies benefited from, as well as contributed to, Singapore’s transformation and growth in the earlier years. Companies like SingTel and PSA have contributed to a competitive and efficient infrastructure for the Singapore economy. Through Temasek’s stewardship and management of these assets, the Government has been able to unlock and grow their value.
- The transfer of Government companies such as SingTel to Temasek ‒ and the subsequent listing of these assets ‒ had contributed to Temasek’s total shareholder returns by market value.
- For the period after 1 April 2002, the performance of this portfolio of earlier Temasek assets did not have any “boost” from IPO listings. These earlier assets have continued to perform well relative to the markets, showing annualised returns of 11% in SGD terms from 1 April 2002 to 31 March 2014. Over the same period, the MSCI Singapore Index showed annualised returns of 7% in SGD terms (inclusive of reinvestment of dividends).
Note that CAG has not been transferred to Temasek. CAG was corporatised in 2009 and has remained directly owned by the Government.
Temasek’s consolidated financial statements are audited by leading international audit firms. In addition, Temasek’s financial performance is scrutinised by bond rating agencies, which have given it a AAA credit rating.
Q14. Can reserves be transferred easily among our investment entities to buffer their losses?
No. An occasional misperception is that the Government made the Constitutional amendments in 2002 and 2004 to allow for the transfer of Past Reserves between Fifth Schedule entities and the Government so as to be able to conceal investment losses. This is wrong.
We have explained that a transfer of funds cannot be used to hide investment losses (see Q11).
The amendments in 2002 and 2004 were made to enable the transfer of Past Reserves within the Reserves protection framework (i.e. among the Government and Fifth Schedule entities), without any loss of protection to Past Reserves. Past Reserves cannot be transferred outside of the Reserves protection framework without the approval of the President. The amendments in 2002 and 2004 did not alter this position.
Past Reserves may need to be transferred to facilitate the restructuring of Fifth Schedule entities to better deliver public services. For example, the merger of the then-Board of Commissioners of Currency, Singapore (BCCS) with Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) in 2002 required the transfer of BCCS’ Past Reserves to MAS.
In transferring the Past Reserves from BCCS to MAS, there was no loss in the amount of Past Reserves protected. This was because the Board of Directors of MAS had resolved that the Past Reserves transferred from BCCS would be added to the Past Reserves of MAS and protected.
The Constitutional amendments make clear that there is no draw on Past Reserves as long as (i) Past Reserves are being transferred among entities that are within the Reserves protection framework; and (ii) the receiving entity undertakes to protect the Past Reserves that are transferred over. In such circumstances, the overall amount of Past Reserves being protected is unchanged, and hence the President’s approval need not be obtained for such transfers.
1. Fifth Schedule entities refer to key statutory boards and Government companies that are listed in the Fifth Schedule under the Constitution. Examples of Fifth Schedule entities are CPF Board, MAS, HDB, GIC and Temasek. The reserves of these entities are protected under the Reserves protection framework.
2. Past Reserves are used to fund only expenditure directly related to the creation of land, but not for the construction of infrastructure on the land.
3. Past Reserves are used to fund only the land component of the total compensation of the acquisition costs.
4. The Net Investment Returns Contribution (NIRC) comprises up to 50% of the Net Investment Returns on the net assets invested by GIC, MAS and Temasek, and up to 50% of the investment income from the remaining assets.
5. Investment gains/losses are always tracked by comparing the current market value of investments held against the historical purchase price for these investments. Capital injections do not increase or decrease the current market value or historical purchase prices of investments.
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